Global growth moderate and uneven, forecast at 3.1 percent this year, 3.6 percent in 2016 Disparate fortunes between the advanced and emerging market and developing economies Lower commodity prices weigh on commodity exporters The IMF’s latest World Economic Outlook (WEO) foresees lower global growth compared to last year, with modest pickup in advanced economies and … Continue reading
By Jiaqian Chen, Tommaso Mancini-Griffoli, and Ratna Sahay The Federal Reserve’s recent unconventional monetary policies seem to have affected emerging markets more than traditional policies. When the United States sneezes, the saying goes, the rest of the world catches a cold. This adage is not mere folklore. The recent global financial crisis drove home the importance … Continue reading
By Dr. Linda Yueh As China’s markets fall and drag down global equities, the underlying concern is undoubtedly how much a slowdown in the Chinese economy will affect the rest of the world. Since the 2008 global financial crisis, China has notably emerged as one of the twin engines of world growth. China has contributed as … Continue reading
By Marc Stocker The impact of falling oil prices is becoming increasingly visible, but the global economy is yet to hit a nice stride – oil exporters face severe headwinds, oil-importing China continues to slow, other large oil-importing countries have seen mixed developments since the start of 2015, and financial market volatility has increased. Are … Continue reading
By Michael Snyder Warren Buffett believes “that bonds are very overvalued“, and a recent survey of fund managers found that 80 percent of them are convinced that bonds have become “badly overvalued“. The most famous bond expert on the planet, Bill Gross, recently confessed that he has a sense that the 35 year bull market … Continue reading
U.S. think-tank Stratfor has recently released its new “Decade Forecast: 2015-2025” where it warns that the EU will decay, China will end up in “a communist dictatorship,” and Russia will disintegrate. In the report, Stratfor says there are several key trends that have emerged. Here is recap of what they are forecasting: * The European Union (EU) has … Continue reading
By IMF Even with the sharp oil price decline—a net positive for global growth—world economic outlook is still subdued, weighed down by underlying weakness elsewhere, says the IMF’s latest WEO Update. Global growth is forecast to rise moderately in 2015–16, from 3.3 percent in 2014 to 3.5 percent in 2015 and 3.7 percent in 2016 … Continue reading
By Christine Lagarde WASHINGTON, DC – As 2015 begins, policymakers around the world are faced with three fundamental choices: to strive for economic growth or accept stagnation; to work to improve stability or risk succumbing to fragility; and to cooperate or go it alone. The stakes could not be higher; 2015 promises to be a … Continue reading